ANALYSIS, COMMENTS, THOUGHTS, AND OTHER OBSERVATIONS IN DR. SKOSPLES' NATIONAL INCOME AND BUSINESS CYCLES COURSE AT OHIO WESLEYAN UNIVERSITY
Friday, December 9, 2011
Draghi drags his feet
Any such development has positive impact on Dow Jones, S&P 500 and other indices hence help re boost the sluggish economy by regaining confidence. This also shows that although banks claim to have little exposure to European debt they actually have a lot of exposure and if big European banks fail, many American banks will be hit badly.
Tuesday, December 6, 2011
American Banks
Too Big To Fail
Google Wallet and the Velocity of Money
Verizon Blocks Google Wallet
Monday, December 5, 2011
Italy’s Leader Unveils Radical Austerity Measures
For Angry Employees, Legal Cover for Rants
The Dash for Cash
Europe banks are the ones now facing scrutiny before investors, companies and savers will lend them any cash. Faced with an investor strike, banks are putting a halt to new loans and selling or pawning all they can. Unless the investor strike lifts soon, Europe risks a credit crunch. At worst, there may even be bank runs and failures. For now, this is keeping the system ticking over, partly because a bank lending money overnight knows it may have to ask for the favour to be returned next week. Euro-area central banks are also leaning heavily on their biggest banks to keep supporting the smallest with interbank loans.
Into the Storm
The independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast assumes that the euro crisis can be resolved without too much fuss, which seems increasingly unlikely—and the uncertainty is pushing the euro zone towards recession fast. Across the continent banks are finding it hard to refinance their own debts cheaply. They are also shedding assets at an alarming rate in order to meet EU capital-adequacy targets by next June. Britain’s banks have lent heavily to businesses and governments in the euro zone’s worst trouble spots, as well as to German and French banks. The threat of a severe credit shortage will force businesses across Europe to conserve their cash and make them cautious about spending on new equipment or hiring new workers. Add in the ever more severe budget cuts planned by euro-zone countries and the picture gets even stormier.
Sunday, December 4, 2011
Leaders Struggle for Deal to Keep Euro Intact
Jobless Rate Dips to Lowest Level in More Than 2 Years
Saturday, December 3, 2011
Haunted by Hyperinflation
The Euro Crisis: One Problem, Two Visions
This makes one think that they keep talking about reform for the future, but what about the present? Greece is still on the verge of collapse and they still don't seem to have a plan of action for when the inevitable occurs. Are they just going to keep pumping money in these countries or what? I'm sure if they properly restructured the EU so that strict regulations were placed on worrisome states, the markets would be satisfied with that.
In contrast, as all of this is going on, Turkey must be happy that the EU rejected them. In retrospect, Turkey has been doing very well with its economy and the money they could have contributed to the EU would have been invaluable. Now they will watch from a distance while their role in the Middle East only grows...
Friday, December 2, 2011
Jobs growth nice. But show us the money!
There are some signs of life showed in the job market. And that's of course a good thing. It's just too bad that people still aren't making enough money to keep up with the fact that the cost of almost everything is getting more expensive.
"Hourly wages fell in November. So much for consumers having more cash to spend this holiday season. And over the past 12 months, wages are up just 1.8%. Through October, the consumer price index rose 3.5%. That's a big problem. "As we know, the inflation rate is pretty low, but it still higher than the wage growth.
There are several reasons that the job market still stinks. Employers still hold all the cards. Many people who have been out of work for years and can get jobs are just happy to get back to work. They're not going to take a hard-line stance negotiating how much of a salary they will get.
Unemployment 8.6%
Thursday, December 1, 2011
Big Banks get sued for unethical practices
Inside Obama's Re-election Math
Fears of U.S Safety Keep Investors in Europe
Wednesday, November 30, 2011
At Top Colleges, Anti-Wall St. Fervor Complicates Recruiting
Stocks Surge After Central Banks’ Action on Debt Crisis
Is it finally getting better?
The great leap online.
Monday, November 28, 2011
Black Friday...... Well Here's Cyber Monday
After reading the posts on the success of Black Friday and also the mention of Cyber Monday I have come across an article which helps to highlight the major success of these two days. With sales being up this Black Friday than the past year the economy looks as though it will receive some much needed aid from this consumption. In addition to this Cyber Monday is apparently doing equally well with sales being more than last year’s more than $1 billion dollar figure. The idea of Cyber Monday, created to help the e-commerce companies left out by Black Friday, has been able to boost figures of sales for many companies. Online sales have seen increases as high as 42 percent for just this day alone.
The article sort of pokes fun at the idea of all these crazy days of big spending being developed but then one struck me as important. The article mentioned “Red Tuesday” where consumers would be going into debt because of Black Friday and Cyber Monday spending. This raises a serious issue, though consumers are spending is this spending more than they can themselves finance?The 50-50 Solution
It then goes on to discuss an approach, proven by research, that keeping a balanced portfolio (50/50 bonds and stocks) is the best, regardless if it's during a recession or a progression, than changing the majority of one's portfolio according to the current economy.
"In other words, humility may bring the steadiest returns."
Sunday, November 27, 2011
Online sales surge 26 percent on Black Friday
I figured it would be only a matter of time until we saw this occurence. There will still be the large number of people who participate in the late night shopping on Black Friday, but as we can see, many have decided to skip the whole even and purchase from the convenience of their own homes. I for one have never participated in Black Friday and when the time comes, I believe I will be one of the millions that does my shopping at home.
US Health Care needs severe reforms
It is well-known that health care takes up a lot of government deficits and as it stands, the costs have not produced as efficiently as in other countries.
The author provides two solutions:
1.) Make the industry more competitive with a voucher system
2.) Make it government run.
The 1st would technically lead to a cheaper and more efficient health care system since higher competition would mean lower prices. However, there is always the risk, especially when lives are concerned, that without regulation, profit-seeking will override patient-saving.
The 2nd option will for sure lead to lower prices because the government will fix it, but many point out that we will have a much worse health care system since many smart minds will not go into medical schools anymore due to much lower incentives.
I prefer the 1st, since there is no guarantee that the government, so heavily influenced by the health care industry anyways through lobbying, will lead to a more patient-saving type of industry than a competitive voucher system.
The NBA
Call Centers - India and the Philippines
Recently there has been an increase in the number of call centers located in the Philippines, with some companies sending their call centers from India to the Philippines. The reason for this being that many customers are happier with the Philippines’ more American styled English as opposed to the “hard to understand” British English of India.
First off this is good for the Philippines as it helps raise the standard of living for the population, as the salary provided by the call centers is above the national average. This will help pump more capital into this economy. On the downside however, the call center industry in India is losing some of its business, though not too much for them to worry about as they remain strong in the information technology branch of call centers. Also to be taken into consideration is the value of the peso and rupee to the dollar. The rupee is currently on a downward decline which would make it cheaper to keep outsourcing calls to India. While the peso in the Philippines had recently seen a steady increase in value which the article mentions could hurt their position on the industry if the value strengthened to 35 pesos to the dollar. It is interesting to see how shifts in one countries economy could result in benefits or hindrance to another country.
Saturday, November 26, 2011
Who lost the decade?
Brink Think
The Dwindling Power of a College Degree
For Black Friday First-Timers, Not a Night of Conversion
Will Cousins Cost You?
It is not only your own intelligence and networking which will assure your financial stability but the health and education of your relatives as most of the time one who is stable ends up paying for others.
One analogy I can make to the current situation is the student loan problem. Many of the student loans have been co signed by parents, uncles or cousins and in today's job market where jobs are hard to find, a default by the applicant would mean that his co signer ends up paying for his debt.
I see this as a potential threat in near future to the stability of the economy as student loan default rate is increasing and such a circumstance could have a trickle down effect.
The harsh reality
Monday, November 21, 2011
Debt supercommittee members brace for failure
The Democrats want high tax rates to the rich while the Republicans want to cut in Medicaid and Social Security.
It is blasphemous that these two sides are taking such extreme sides and won't budge.
With all the politicians gone for Thanksgiving, I hope they are working hard to find a solution.
The debt must be cut or else half of the cut must come from national security.
Republicans drove a hard bargain in order to let Obama raise hb
Sunday, November 20, 2011
Imperial Overstretch: Is A Bloated Defense Budget Weakening the U.S.?
Trade
Debt Committee: Decision Time
Saturday, November 19, 2011
Jobless Claims Fall to 7-Month Low: Is the United States' Large Layoff Period Ending?
The magic of diasporas
"America educates foreign scientists in its universities and then expels them, a policy the mayor of New York calls “national suicide”. Whether or not this is national suicide only time will tell.
Voices of the Near Poor
Extending Black Friday
This article is quite interesting. It talks about the economic effects of the Black Friday shopping event. They note that during this period in the shopping year about 1/5th of all revenue is made, that’s just in four weeks. They say an alien to America would describe the economy as, people living frugally for 11 months of the year but then going crazy buying things that they don’t need.
This unnecessary spending is however very useful to the economy. It stimulates the consumption, spending of billions of dollars that otherwise were not spent. The writer even goes on to describe the event as a “one-day economic-stimulus plan and job-creation program”. This causes the suggestion of trying to extend this effect for more than just say a week. Give the article a read the writer goes more into detail about this idea.
Imagine, Black Friday as an economic relief source.
Targeting Nominal GDP as a Monetary Policy Rule
Hope you find this stimulating.
Prof. Skosples
Thursday, November 17, 2011
Greece lightning
Wednesday, November 16, 2011
Delaying retirement: 80 is the new 65
I think this situation will bring many other issues. For example, the limited job chances for young people, especially new-workers, will be decreased by this extension of retirement age. This change could be another challenge for the job market in the future.
Bell Ringers Go Digital This Season
Tuesday, November 15, 2011
U.S. Economy: Sales Rise More Than Forecast, Driving Growth
Republicans Consider Breaking No-Tax Vow as Deadline Looms
Monday, November 14, 2011
What do you do when you reach the top?
However this pace of growth can not continue forever and South Korea will have to come up with new ways of maintaining its growth as it has almost reached its optimum level.
Sunday, November 13, 2011
France and Italy in the Eurozone Turmoil
This article discusses another Euro-zone problem, with French banks having substantial holdings in Italian, not Greek, debt. French banks are “among the worlds’ biggest, and are closely linked with their counterparts in the United States.”
While we are all well aware that our American $ will also ultimately be affected by the euro crisis, this article attempts to explain to an extent, how intertwined the US is with European banks.
The article also discusses the various ramifications from the leaders of severely indebted countries leaving office (most notably Greece and Italy)
Italy approves austerity, Berlusconi resigns
The democratic votebank
Great article on how things were, how they look now and how they might be in the future for American Politics.
Greece lightning
Drought warning
As the rich world lurches from one crisis to the next, a consolation has been that emerging economies, which account for about half of world output, have been growing quickly. Even the wretched euro zone has a few racy emerging markets nearby. A deep recession in the currency zone would leave few countries unscathed, even in fast-growing emerging Asia. For developing economies closer to home, the euro zone’s banks may be the main route by which the suffering spreads. The current-account balance is a rough guide to which countries are most vulnerable. On that basis, Asia is generally a safer place than Eastern Europe, where several countries run large current-account deficits, and so rely in part on fresh loans from big European lenders.
Kick the Can
Saturday, November 12, 2011
The all-telling eye
There is WHAT we say, but also HOW we say it that provides subtle secondary pregnant meaning like sarcasm, regret, or sadness.
We assume technology should be strictly robotic and unemotionally. But humans are emotional. And mastering the Technology-Human Interface was the key to Steve Job's success. Yes I smiled when I read some of the details of this fascinating essay. And who does not smile at a well written joke, pun or a word like 'spork'.
There is a 'ton' of meaning that is lost in empty words unattached to facial expressions and gestures. That is why we still have face-to-face meetings in the 21st Century