ANALYSIS, COMMENTS, THOUGHTS, AND OTHER OBSERVATIONS IN DR. SKOSPLES' NATIONAL INCOME AND BUSINESS CYCLES COURSE AT OHIO WESLEYAN UNIVERSITY
Saturday, November 5, 2011
The indebted ones
Student-loan systems in America and elsewhere are often badly designed for an extended period of high unemployment. In contrast to the housing crash, the risk from student debt is not of a sudden explosion in losses but of gradual financial suffocation. The pressure needs to be eased. Changes would lead to a repricing of student debt. That would be a bad thing for taxpayers, but a good thing overall. Just as borrowers need to understand the risks they are exposing themselves to, voters need to understand the liabilities that governments are taking on when they subsidize students.
Rising from the ruins
American economic recoveries can be seen from two places: the first is that the housing sector traditionally leads the economy out of recession. The second is that there is no chance of the housing sector leading the present economy anywhere, except deeper into the mire. The housing market still looks grim, but the rental side hints at recovery. Rising house values boost confidence and spending, and home construction is more labor-intensive than other sectors. A housing recovery should also give monetary policy more traction; low interest rates do less to perk up the economy when housing markets are depressed.
9% Unemployment
The increase in jobs this year was barely enough to cover the loss in jobs that have occurred during the same time period. With this slight change in the unemployment level and the effects of the European financial crisis on the global economy the chances of financial stability being achieved anytime soon seems rather slim.
The medium made the message
Thursday, November 3, 2011
Small Banks Gain from Occupy Wall Street
Student loans in America. "Nope, just debt." The next big credit bubble?
It begins with talking about President Lyndon Johnson's act in late 1965, which sent $1.9m from the federal government to states which could then leverage it ten-to-one to back student loans of up to $1,000 for 25,000 people. As he promised, that act “will help young people enter business, trade, and technical schools—institutions which play a vital role in providing the skills our citizens must have to compete and contribute in our society.”
Come back to today, on October 25th the Obama administration added indebted students to the list of banks, car companies, homeowners, solar manufacturers and others that have benefited from a federal handout. Compared to the act 50 years ago, the result of education loans has a shifting, difficult landscape . For students, the task is much harder. Many students are overwhelmed, which is reflected by two things: First, the size of student debt is vast and lots of borrowers are struggling. Second, the total amount of debt is staggering.
As we read from the former news, that there were some changes announced this week, which are designed to ease the pressure on struggling graduates. Borrowers who qualify will get some payment relief. How will this relieve act going is still hard to tell.
ECB Cuts Interest Rates as New Chief Draghi Takes Bold Step
Wednesday, November 2, 2011
Back to the Drachma?
Yuan Hits Hurdle on Road to Wider Use—U.S. Businesses
Will the Chinese Yuan take over US Dollar? only time will tell.
Tuesday, November 1, 2011
Greek Vote Rattles World Market
This goes along with what we have been studying in class with the affects from countries policies and what that means for the rest of the world.
Consumer Prices up 0.3% in September
Government in Greece Nears Collapse over Referendum
This article, as well as the entire Greek financial crisis, has shown how important the connection between politics and financial markets are. Changes in one will always create changes in the other, due to attitudes and predictions about the future. The Greece crisis should be taken as a warning for Obama, about how important fixing the economic situation is to maintaining political support.
Sunday, October 30, 2011
US-JPN Exchange Rates
Japan’s Finance sector recently had to intervene in order to prevent the Yen value from hurting the US economy. The Yen had US dollar had reached a record low of 75.31 yen but since actions by the Finance minister has increased to 78.55 yen. The report by Reuters suggests that this record high in the value of the yen is being fueled by the inflow of money to Japan as a safe haven due to the uncertainty in Europe controlling its debt crisis. The Minister of Finance for Japan, Jun Azumi, reported that Japan would continue to intervene until it saw fit.
Though the US economy is recovering at an increasing rate right now other economies are doing better, which in turn could adversely affect America’s recovery efforts. However, with efforts in place in other economies to facilitate the growth of this economy things may not be as bad as they could be.
Ben Bernanke Needs a Volcker Moment
This article explores the Reagan-era inflation drop due to Volcker's firm choices as chairman, as well as the Great-Depression era fiscal policies which effectively did away with deflation. Many could agree that these two past events in history easily rival what is happening right now in the economy (perhaps we are currently undergoing our third "depression" ? Although, we are technically in a "recession", nowhere near an economic depression.)
We live in an era where politics overshadow, and control most of our monetary policy. While power is still held by those in the top positions (president, chairman of the fed), it seems that any move one of the top-dogs make always lands as much praise as it does criticism. What this article is suggesting is that Bernanke use all the power he has to sway the financial decisions of both everyday Americans, and big-time investors.