ANALYSIS, COMMENTS, THOUGHTS, AND OTHER OBSERVATIONS IN DR. SKOSPLES' NATIONAL INCOME AND BUSINESS CYCLES COURSE AT OHIO WESLEYAN UNIVERSITY
Saturday, February 27, 2010
The Very Long View
Friday, February 26, 2010
East or famine
Wednesday, February 24, 2010
Wall Street bonuses jumped 17 percent last year
Toyota's "Full Responsibility"
Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Olympic hockey tix trump the Super Bowl
Banking Compensation Around The World
Toyota faces US criminal probe, Japan govt eyes impact
It all comes as Toyota's top executive prepared for a hearing on Capitol Hill over unintended acceleration problems that have been linked to at least five U.S. deaths, with 29 other fatality reports being examined.
In a gesture it said was intended to reassure customers, Toyota said it would install brake-override systems on three more models of vehicles already on U.S. roads: the Tacoma truck going back to 2005 model year, the Venza crossover from 2009 and the Sequoia SUV.
Shares of Toyota fell 0.5 percent to 3,325 yen on Tuesday in Tokyo, matching the Nikkei 225's .N225 fall, suggesting little investor reaction to news of the criminal investigation and the plan for an additional brake override upgrade.
"Investors are not worried about such one-time costs. Instead they welcome Toyota's efforts to restore confidence in its products and its relations with the U.S. government regardless of the costs," said Yoshihiko Tabei, analyst at Kazaka Securities.
He said the earnings forecast Toyota gave on Feb. 4 for the year ending next month will likely be unaffected by the costs of the recalls and voluntary upgrades, while investors are more worried whether Toyota can revamp its brand and avoid a sales slump next business year.
A Japanese government official expressed concern about the effect Toyota's problems could have on Japan's exports.
"Strong growth in Asia-bound exports seems to be slowing, and we also have to consider Toyota's recalls, so we've given a cautious judgment on exports," Keisuke Tsumura, a parliamentary secretary on economic affairs, said as the government issued a report on the economy. [ID:nTOE61M003]
Toyota has recalled more than 8.5 million vehicles globally in recent months for problems including sticky accelerators, accelerators that can be pinned down by loose floor mats and a braking glitch affecting its hybrid models.
It is also investigating reports of steering problems in the Corolla, its second most popular U.S. model.
Toyota's extra installation of the brake-override systems extends the scope and cost of a recall that had already targeted five models including the top-selling Camry. Toyota said it would have the same safety technology on most new models sold in the United States by the end of 2010.
PRELUDE TO TESTIMONY
Akio Toyoda, who took the helm at the world No. 1 automaker last June, is scheduled to testify before the U.S. House Oversight and Government Reform Committee on Wednesday.
In a preview of the line he could take in his testimony, Toyoda said in a statement published in the Wall Street Journal that he was committed to making sure that Toyota learned from the crisis and changed its ways.
"It is clear to me that in recent years we didn't listen as carefully as we should -- or respond as quickly as we must -- to our customers' concerns," Toyoda said. "While we investigated malfunctions in good faith, we focused too narrowly on technical issues without taking full account of how our customers use our vehicles."
The extended apology from Toyoda, a grandson of the company's founder, came hours after Toyota said it had received a federal grand jury subpoena from the U.S. attorney's office in Manhattan on Feb. 8.
The automaker also said the SEC had asked for documents related to unintended acceleration of Toyota vehicles and the company's disclosure policies.
Toyota said it would cooperate with the investigations. (Reporting by Yumiko Nishitani; Editing by Hugh Lawson)
Monday, February 22, 2010
States short $1 trillion to fund retiree benefits
States and localities are now facing a $1 trillion deficit in public employees' retirement benefit funds. This comes out to an $8,800 deficit per household. This started when states failed to make annual contributions while also increasing benefits. This new finding doesn't even take into account the economic struggles we had in 2008; the average pension plan fell 25% in 2008. This comes at a bad time for the states, as they are dealing with a $180 billion budget gap for fiscal policy in 2011.
Bernanke Outlines Exit Strategy
Bernanke Outlines Exit Strategy
By LUCA DI LEO
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke outlined the likely path the Fed would take to tighten credit once the economy has recovered enough. In another step toward unwinding its crisis-lending programs, he said Wednesday the Fed could soon begin raising its discount rate, charging more for emergency loans it makes directly to banks.
In testimony prepared for a House Financial Services Committee hearing that was called off because of a blizzard in Washington, Mr. Bernanke said that another interest rate might for a time replace the federal-funds rate as the main policy tool. That's the rate the Fed pays to banks on excess reserves they leave at the central bank.
Mr. Bernanke said that though the economy needed support from monetary policy, the Fed would "at some point" increase short-term rates and drain some of the money it had pumped into the economy during the recession. He gave no hint that such a move was imminent.
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke outlines a plan to pull back policies that have been propping up the economy. Dow Jones Newswires' Neal Lipschutz and WSJ's Sudeep Reddy join Kelsey Hubbard in the News Hub with more.
As part of its plans to wind down emergency liquidity measures, the Fed may "before long" increase the difference between the discount rate and the federal-funds rate, a Fed-influenced rate at which banks lend to each other overnight, he said. The spread between the rates is a quarter percentage point; before the crisis, it was a full point.
Mr. Bernanke's speech was designed to outline the Fed's strategy for withdrawing its extraordinary support for the economy, which has brought the federal-funds rate near zero and led the Fed to buy more than $1 trillion worth of U.S. Treasury and mortgage-backed securities. He said the sequencing and tools the Fed would use to tighten policy would depend on how the economic recovery develops.
The Fed chairman said he didn't currently anticipate the Fed would sell any of its holdings of long-term U.S. Treasurys or mortgage-backed securities "in the near term," and probably not "until after policy tightening has gotten under way and the economy is clearly in a sustainable recovery." But over time, he said, "the Federal Reserve anticipates that its balance sheet will shrink toward more historically normal levels and that most or all of its security holdings will be Treasury securities."
A focus on the interest rate for excess reserves—now at 0.25%—would present markets with a new signal to follow when the Fed begins tightening credit. "It is possible that the Federal Reserve could for a time use the interest rate paid on reserves, in combination with targets for reserve quantities, as a guide to its policy stance," Mr. Bernanke said, adding no final decision had yet been made.
Raising the excess-reserves rate would give banks an incentive to park more funds at the Fed instead of lending them out to companies or households. In this way, the Fed would be able to restrain an economy that risks overheating and sparking inflation. Moving this rate would pull up other short-term rates, including the federal-funds rate, long the Fed's main tool for steering the economy.
While other major central banks, such as the European Central Bank, have been using interest on excess bank reserves for a while, it's a new tool for the Fed. Congress gave the central bank authority to use it in October 2008.
Mr. Bernanke says the Fed expects "it will eventually return to an operating framework with much lower reserve balances than at present and with the federal-funds rate as the operating target for policy."
One million could lose jobless benefits in March
Networks Wary as Apple Pushes for 99-Cent TV Shows on iTunes
With the iTunes pricing debate, the television industry is facing the same question that music labels and publishers are: just how much is our content worth in a digital world?
iTunes remains, predominately, a music store. Consumers have downloaded nearly 10 billion songs and about 375 million TV episodes.
Analysts say the TV revenue from iTunes has been marginal for producers and distributors.China's stock market
Sunday, February 21, 2010
China losing appetite for U.S. debt
Unemployment
Under 21? Getting a credit card just got tougher
Obama to Urge Oversight of Insurers’ Rate Increases
Will Airlines and Passengers Call a Truce?
In the recent weeks of sof winter storms across the country, airlines have been giving their customers a chance to take advantage of the ability to chance their itineraries ahead of the bad weather, a waiver that is rare in air travel; a service from the airlines without paying for it. In the last 18 months, the idea of a plane ticket has been transformed from an all-inclusive purchase to a pay-as-you-go plan, creating a poor relationship between airlines and customers.
Airlines say their inability to make money, and consumers' resistance to higher ticket prices, as their reason for thinking up new ways to make customers pay extra. The International Air Transport Association stated that the airlines had lost $55 billion in the last decade.
Mark Bergsrud, the senior vice president for marketing at Continental Airlines believes that passengers who are having having the toughest time accepting the changes are those who fly only a few times a year. While business travelers are having an easier time in part due to the miles they are earn that allow an exemption from many of the charges.
Fed raises emergency funding rate
Global Crisis Leads I.M.F. Experts to Rethink Long-Held Ideas
Mix Message
Saving has decreased from 10% of income in the 1980s to around 1% in the present. Obama hopes to bring saving back by making retirement plans more readily available and helping employers to increase employee contributions. This increase in saving will be accompanied by an increase in investment which will be better fueled by technological advances. These advances, however, will not change the rate at which they appear. Therefore, the Obama administration is pushing for a faster patent process and less uncertainty in R&D tax credit (which currently must be renewed by congress each year). As savings increase there will be less demand for foreign savings, and alongside this shift other nations will shift to domestic consumption and investment (to rebalance their own economies).
Fast-food breakfast sales decline as fewer head to work
US consumer prices rise 0.2% in January
Additionally, it points that the rise was largely driven by energy prices, which rose for the ninth consecutive month. Further, according to Jennifer Lee at BMO Capital Markets, the price pressures are mainly caused by the food and energy categories.
States short $1 trillion to fund retiree benefits
http://money.cnn.com/2010/02/18/news/economy/public_pension_gap/index.htm
This article talks about the fact that states and localities now must deal with a $1 trillion deficit (which averages $8,800 for every household in US.) in public employees' retirement benefits' funds.
This deficit is partly caused by states' failure to make annual contributions while enhancing benefits. To make up for this gap, states usually ask the residents to make it up by imposing property tax or income tax. So the taxpayers may face higher taxes with less benefits.
Althought, according to the article, "the bill isn't due at once and no state is in danger of default", it's still better to address the default and work on it as soon as possible.
Indian economy 'to grow 7.2%'
The state has put into place fiscal strategies to maintain growth during the economic downturn.
There has been strong growth in the manufacturing sector of India to make up for a fall in agricultural output.
Now there is talk of raising interest rates before expected and possibilities of government composing some exit strategies.
Concentration is shifting from economic growth, to inflation.
I think it's important for the Indian government to step back now that growth is steady and put more concentration on their growing inflation. It's incredible to see how much this nation has grown during these years of economic crisis.
The New Poor
Greece not looking for bailout
Greek Prime Minister, George Papandreou, says that what Greece needs now is political support, not financial support.
He blames the previous administration for the current debt level, calling them "reckless and corrupt".
He plans to decrease the country's defecit by almost 10%.
All Papandreou asks for is time and support.
Is the mortgage market starting to heal?
Can low-paying garment industry save Haiti?
President Obama Tries to Bring Down the Deficit
UK Jobless Rate Would Be Almost Double in Euro
The interesting thing about this is how the countries in the European Union all work with the same central economic rates and laws, but all have different strengths and weaknesses in their own economies. The UK may have come out stronger by not joining, but some of the other countries may have done worse by not joining.
Tackling the US deficit--A modest proposal
The Return of the Ski Bum
A somewhat amusing article about the new ski bum that has arrived.
"Meet the newest wave of ski bums: stoked to be in the mountains, uncertain about the future, probably overqualified and, once again, American."
Less late payments on mortgages
A Small Price for a Large Benefit
Economic outlook: Fed rise’s recovery signal
Millions of Unemployed Face Years Without Jobs
"Call them the new poor: people long accustomed to the comforts of middle-class life who are now relying on public assistance for the first time in their lives — potentially for years to come."