ANALYSIS, COMMENTS, THOUGHTS, AND OTHER OBSERVATIONS IN DR. SKOSPLES' NATIONAL INCOME AND BUSINESS CYCLES COURSE AT OHIO WESLEYAN UNIVERSITY
Saturday, September 17, 2011
Saving on Mortgage Taxes
In the article, the author compares the mortgages taxes in New York State, Connecticut and New Jersey in the past four year. It is clearly to see that mortgage taxes are decreasing and New York State has a much higher tax rates compared to other boarding states. Plus, New York State has other related tax that will add the total cost up, such as mortgage recording tax. In addition, in all the three states, borrowers also need to pay the assignment fees. So a low loan balance may not be worthwhile to sign. So borrowers should be careful when they make investments.
Obama Tax Plan Would Ask More of Millionaires
President Obama called a new tax rate for people whose annual incomes are less than 1million. Even though he did not mentioned the specific rate, but this new tax policy is aimed to cut the wealth of millionaires. The administration is supposed to replace the alternative minimum tax policy that set up decades ago, but people are not optimistic that this policy will be written into the lax. President Obama’s this proposal is certain to draw opposition from the republicans, but I think it will discourage the investment, which is not good to the current economic situation.
Privatisation with Chinese characteristics
Friday, September 16, 2011
Dow Gains 4.7% in Week
One reason why Dow was up was due to the news that the Finance ministers of the Euro-zone along with Timothy Geithner, treasury Secretary of United States, were to discuss the possibility of the five major central banks boosting the money supply to help kick start the Europe economy.
As we were discussing in the class as to how the news released by central banks on its stance regarding the money supply influences future expectations, this is a classic example. European banks are on the surge of declaring bankruptcy because of the performance of the euro zone. As the leaders discussed that they wont let Greece default and make banks who have large exposure to these Greek debt, especially french banks which have been hit my moody's downgrading, strong by pumping more money so that the risk of any default perishes; the markets reacted positively as investors gained confidence that the Fed would come to the rescue if banks are hit by any financial problems. As a result they turned their investments away from the Treasury bond and gold into the stock market even thou the central banks has not even pumped any money yet. This led the Dow Jones to rise and gold prices which were at their highest to fall.
The President of portfolio-management firm Farr, Miller & Washington puts it this way "In the short term, markets are encouraged that we are going to once again avoid a crisis,but there's no certainty of a successful outcome. The only certainty is that consequences will not be met for some time."
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
Let your stocks do the work.
Sunday, September 11, 2011
Market Efficiency
Social Security pays millions to dead people
In this article, Blake Ellis discusses some of the major flaws of Social Security. While most people are worried that they will not be able to get Social Security payments when they retire, it is the case that millions of dollars worth of benefits are sent to people who have passed away. In fact, sometimes even after a death has been added to the master file, the Social Security benefits continue to be sent to their house.
The article goes on to give examples of these occurrences, as well as explain many other flaws in the Social Security system, such as overpaying or paying an incorrect amount to a beneficiary. It also discusses the reactions of families of those who received the benefits after their loved one had passed away.Come on baby, let's do the Twist!
Currently in our economy, long-term interest rates are at record lows, and short-term rates are nearing zero. You might think that with this knowledge, firms would be borrowing left and right, expanding their businesses. However, it is just the opposite. Firm's are hesitant to borrow and invest in new capital etc. because people are just as hesitant to spend what little money they have left.
Implementing another "Operation Twist" in our current economy could help, but only very slightly (0.5% increase in economic growth according to Goldman Sachs). Different from the 1960's however, short-term rates are already near zero, so selling them off (in order to buy long-term ones and thus decrease long-term rates) might deal a lethal blow to our economy.
While 0.5% growth is better than nothing, it is not nearly enough to save this economy. With nearly all of their ammo (stimulus spending) exhausted, the Fed is loosing its power to turn, or in this case "twist," the economy around.