Saturday, March 16, 2024

US economy cooling in first quarter; inflation appears sticky

 Blog 3

Sticky inflation happens in situations where prices do not adjust as quickly to supply and demand changes. This article discusses how fewer Americans applied for unemployment benefits. Despite signs of slowing economic activity, the Federal Reserve is unlikely to start cutting interest rates before June 2024, and other data on Thursday showed a larger-than-expected increase in producer prices last month. In addition, core retail sales are unchanged from previous months. Not only that, but US Treasury prices also decreased. It is about how higher interest payments may be crowding out consumer spending(consumption). Therefore, the revised data for continued claims are consistent with a job market that is showing some signs of loosening yet still strong. In the article, it says, “based on the CPI and PPI data, economists estimated that the core PCE price index increased 0.3% in February after gaining 0.4% in January. Core inflation is forecast to rise 2.8% in February, which would match January's gain”. Finally, it talks about how stock trades were lower. Retail sales for automobiles, gasoline, building materials as well as food services were unchanged in February. 



Link:https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-retail-sales-rebound-february-weekly-jobless-claims-fall-2024-03-14/