Thursday, December 1, 2011
Inside Obama's Re-election Math
This article goes into the detail of which states are crucial to O'bama and his need for electoral votes. He has visited Pennsylvania eight times this year in order to get as much support as he can from the state that holds twenty electoral votes. Pennsylvania is not the only crucial state for O'bama and many feel that it will be a slim margin to whether or not he will be able to stay another term. O'bama's presidential game may be coming to an end soon.
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Everyone is very concerned about Obama's prospects for reelection, given the still downward state of the economy. I am beginning to wonder, from what we've learned in class recently, whether this is a valid point. The recession was still getting worse when Obama took office, so he was only able to take reactive measures, not proactive. He hasn't had as much time to fix the economy as people think. Furthermore, the debt and spending that he has been criticized for isn't as big of a problem as Republicans are making it out to be. Given these and the fact that the Republican field is looking weak, Obama may not be as hard to reelect as we think.
ReplyDeleteThe field for the Republican presidential candidates is quite honestly a big joke. Romney, former governor of Massachusetts, is a blatant flip flopper on many key issues, Cain and Perry are almost cartoon like , and Newt Gingrich is a hypocrite. I just cannot see Obama being beaten by any one of these candidates, even though Obama is unjustly blamed for the state of the economy. Nonetheless, it should be a very interesting election.
ReplyDeleteConsidering the Republican field and the ridiculousness of the debates, Obama's reelection team, at present, shouldn't be too worried. However, we are still very early in the campaign season, and quite honestly come November, most Americans will likely forget whats is going on currently in the GOP field; Americans tend to be slightly short sighted when it comes to politicians and politics.
ReplyDeleteIt really all comes down to: How bad will the economy be at election time? I disagree with your Romney point of view, as his main policy views have stayed similar well-throughout. I am deathly scared of tea partyists gaining ground, but Romney seems to be more in the middle ground than the other candidates. One thing the Obama administration has failed to do is to work on private investment. He has done a lot in the consumer spending sector, but as we saw in class, our private investment is extremely low.
ReplyDeleteCutting spending also might not be as appealing, but a more efficient spending system will be greatly beneficial to this country.
The Republicans have a chance, a good chance at that, but they have to show that they are willing to be lenient and sensible in their policy, not stick to the staunch right wing policies that have alienated many Americans.
from the graphs that we have seen, it appears that private investment is at normal levels from recovering from a recession, and consumer spending is down, and with it GDP. It appears that businesses are beginning to gain confidence and spend again, however the consumers see huge headlines like "Double-Dip!" and "Euro-debt crisis!" and lose confidence and low their spending.
ReplyDeleteThe state of the economy at the time of the elections will definitely play a large role in the outcome. If it continues to improve, it seems that Obama would have a pretty good shot at re-election. However, if it stagnates or gets worse, there is a definite possibility that he could lose the election based on that alone. It will be interesting to see how it plays out.
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