The independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast assumes that the euro crisis can be resolved without too much fuss, which seems increasingly unlikely—and the uncertainty is pushing the euro zone towards recession fast. Across the continent banks are finding it hard to refinance their own debts cheaply. They are also shedding assets at an alarming rate in order to meet EU capital-adequacy targets by next June. Britain’s banks have lent heavily to businesses and governments in the euro zone’s worst trouble spots, as well as to German and French banks. The threat of a severe credit shortage will force businesses across Europe to conserve their cash and make them cautious about spending on new equipment or hiring new workers. Add in the ever more severe budget cuts planned by euro-zone countries and the picture gets even stormier.
ANALYSIS, COMMENTS, THOUGHTS, AND OTHER OBSERVATIONS IN DR. SKOSPLES' NATIONAL INCOME AND BUSINESS CYCLES COURSE AT OHIO WESLEYAN UNIVERSITY
Monday, December 5, 2011
Into the Storm
Sunday, December 4, 2011
Leaders Struggle for Deal to Keep Euro Intact
Jobless Rate Dips to Lowest Level in More Than 2 Years
Saturday, December 3, 2011
Haunted by Hyperinflation
The Euro Crisis: One Problem, Two Visions
This makes one think that they keep talking about reform for the future, but what about the present? Greece is still on the verge of collapse and they still don't seem to have a plan of action for when the inevitable occurs. Are they just going to keep pumping money in these countries or what? I'm sure if they properly restructured the EU so that strict regulations were placed on worrisome states, the markets would be satisfied with that.
In contrast, as all of this is going on, Turkey must be happy that the EU rejected them. In retrospect, Turkey has been doing very well with its economy and the money they could have contributed to the EU would have been invaluable. Now they will watch from a distance while their role in the Middle East only grows...
Friday, December 2, 2011
Jobs growth nice. But show us the money!
There are some signs of life showed in the job market. And that's of course a good thing. It's just too bad that people still aren't making enough money to keep up with the fact that the cost of almost everything is getting more expensive.
"Hourly wages fell in November. So much for consumers having more cash to spend this holiday season. And over the past 12 months, wages are up just 1.8%. Through October, the consumer price index rose 3.5%. That's a big problem. "As we know, the inflation rate is pretty low, but it still higher than the wage growth.
There are several reasons that the job market still stinks. Employers still hold all the cards. Many people who have been out of work for years and can get jobs are just happy to get back to work. They're not going to take a hard-line stance negotiating how much of a salary they will get.