But as we know, markets are forward-looking, not backward. The markets react less to what is happening and more to what might happen. When talks of U.S. leaders being open to ending the conflict in Iran, the stock market immediately rallied. The S&P 500 jumped 2.9% in a single day, being one of the largest jumps since last year. Oil prices dropped, easing the fear of inflation for consumers and businesses.
These statements and events in the world have shown how markets are trying to price in the uncertain future with any bit of information that comes out. While this rally today was huge, the markets are still down on the year, and the war has not been declared over. There is still uncertainty in the air, but this could be the first logical step to recovering the losses.
https://apnews.com/article/stock-markets-war-oil-trump-iran-84a7c46b51b3583f743c8da6a40d36ac
This is quite interesting. How unpredictable markets are at the moment. Do you think declaring war will benefit the S&P 500 and consumer/businesses side of the market or do you think this could lead us closer to a recession?
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