Studies have shown that employers cut jobs in professional business services are down by 15,000, while information, and leisure and hospitality, were also cut by 17,000 and 5,000 (Smart). There was a recent survey done by Paychex's that shows that hiring among small businesses with fewer than 50 employees, which causes some caution, however, in September, there were 29,000 jobs lost, which means that we are doing a little better.
The article I read also talked about how there were two dissents at the Fed’s October meeting. At the meeting, one member of the central bank’s monetary policy committee wanted a bigger cut of a half point and the other preferred no cut, which means that nobody knows what they are going to do and that will depend on what incoming data, assuming the Fed has enough to make a decision (Smart).
Smart, T. (2025). ADP: Employers Add 42,000 Jobs in October. US News & World Report; U.S. News &
It is a good sign to see that the number of jobs is increasing after a rather dour outlook on the labor market over the last couple of weeks. Large corporations like Amazon, UPS, etc., have had rather large employment cuts as of late. It is reassuring to know that the number of jobs is rising. Once the government reopens, I will be interested to see how the difference in data compares from the BLS to private data sources like ADP.
ReplyDeleteInteresting how the ADP report shows job gains but other surveys point to weaker hiring and layoffs. What do you think this mix of good and bad signs really says about the job market right now.
ReplyDeleteThe job numbers feel confusing because even though ADP shows gains, other reports and big-company layoffs make the labor market seem shakier than it looks. It makes me wonder how the Fed can decide what to do next when the shutdown might delay important data and the signals are all over the place.
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