Tuesday, May 6, 2025

Wobbling economy will push the Fed to cut interest rates later this year, CNBC survey finds

     A CNBC survey sent out to 31 fund managers, analysts, and economists, finds that there is still an expectation among experts that interest rates will get cut before the end of the year. Something interesting to note is that from the March to the April survey, there was a 21% jump (44% to 65%) in those who believe that an interest rate cut is happening. This prediction seems to come from the fact that stagflation is a revenant continuously coming back to haunt the Federal Chair Jerome Powell. It seems that if it comes down to choosing between continued inflation and unemployment rates, experts think that the Fed will favor the unemployment rates. Another interesting wrinkle in this dilemma is that some are of the opinion that inflation could become unanchored after a rate cut. Richard Bernstein, of Richard Bernstein Advisors, stated that cutting rates would mean the Fed is “giving up on the 2% inflation target, perhaps permanently.” Finally, lasting effects of the current administration's actions are certainly feared, as 83% of respondents believe that the U.S.'s brand has been damaged. Something like that will not be the easiest to fix on an international stage.


https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/06/wobbling-economy-will-push-the-fed-to-cut-interest-rates-later-this-year-cnbc-survey-finds.html

1 comment:

  1. It’s interesting to see how quickly expert opinion shifted in just one month. The part about possibly giving up on the 2% inflation target really caught my attention, especially with how that could mess with the U.S.’s image globally.

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