This is an unconventional instrument to stimulate an economy that has failed to reach it's inflation rate. Instead of setting interests rates, the ECB has chosen to boost the economy through "quantitative easing" or QE. QE is a situation in which the Central Bank buys assets with new money from banks. After buying the bonds, the banks are then, in theory, to buy new assets thus increasing the value of stock prices and decreasing interest rates.
The problem that the ECB faces is the consumer price inflation which fell to 0.3% in September. This is the lowest in five years and below the 2% that is goal. Major economies of Europe have been slowing down recently and this tool is supposed to push the economies of Europe in positive direction. This being said Mr. Draghi stated "The recovery is likely to continue to be dampened by high unemployment, sizable unutilised capacity and continued negative bank loan growth to the private sector. In particular, the recent weakening in the euro area's growth momentum, alongside heightened geopolitical risk, could dampen confidence and, in particular, private investment."
I agree that ECB should be exploring other options to raise the inflation of the eurozone. QE is just one option but others should be explored. The future economic outlook of the eurozone isn't appearing the strongest.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-29459157
Hopefully they are able to stimulate the European economy through this. I think this is a good decision for Europe and that it will help inflation and growth in output. Rates in Europe will be lower than they will be in the US for quite some time. The recovery in Europe has been slower, but they will slowly return to normal levels of inflation, GDP growth, and unemployment.
ReplyDeleteYou mention that this move wouldn't ease the high unemployment rates, lack of full utilization, and negative bank loan growth so is this actually the best plan of attack? Also, what is the timeline for something like this? Would the average citizen feel the effects in a couple months or would it take years? I'm a little skeptical of this decision by the ECB.
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