The Department of Commerce statistics showed that exports totaled $153.3 billion in July, up from $150.6 billion in June. A $2.3 billion increase in capital goods, most of it civilian aircraft, accounted for the bulk of the export increase. Industrial supplies and materials, and food and beverages also rose.
The trade deficit narrowed to $42.8 billion, down from a revised $49.8 billion in June, the department said. Imports totaled $196.1 billion in July, $4.2 billion less than June. Most of the decline, $1.9 billion, came from fewer consumer goods being brought into the country.
Economists said that the smaller trade deficit in July suggested there would be less of an impact on the third-quarter gross domestic product than the deficit had in the second quarter. G.D.P. was revised downward to 1.6 percent from 2.4 percent for the second quarter, partly because of the expanded June trade deficit, which had a 3.4 percentage point drag on growth that quarter.The outlook depended on whether consumer demand picked up in the months ahead, an uncertainty because of the weak job market. The decline in imports suggested that American consumers were still focused on increasing savings rather than on spending.
Seeing that a decrease in our net exports deficit is helping GPD, even a little, is an uplifting sign. The further implication that the decline in imports suggests that American consumers are focusing on saving may also be a good thing. Now we just need to get our demand for investment back. It will be interesting to see if President Obama's investment incentive plan for small businesses will increase this demand.
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