Economics and politics are often linked together and this is
now playing out in Lebanon. The recent resignation of that country’s leader has
made confidence in the economy fall. With Prime Minister Saad
Hariri leaving, big projects to improve raods and electricity supply have been
put on hold. Business investor confidence has plunged.
The political and economic crisis in Lebanon got so bad
that four other countries in the region including Saudi Arabia asked their
citizens to leave Lebanon. This will no doubt further bruise business
confidence in Lebanon. The worries are also building that Saudi Arabia will react
by forcing Lebanese workers to leave that country, which will further hurt
Lebanon’s economy because it depends on the money that those workers bring back
to their families. In fact, these Lebanese workers send back as much as $2
billion a year, which is spent as private consumption on goods and services in
Lebanon’s economy.
So all of these slowdown
effects could end up having a big negative effect on Lebanon’s GDP growth in
future. A further negative effect on growth is a very high government budget
deficit that will get worse if businesses and trade slow and tax revenues then
fall. All of these developments are a true shame for Lebanon, which has had an
economy devastated by wars and other troubles in its past.
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/11/a-political-shock-throws-lebanons-economy-back-into-crisis.html
Whoever succeeds the Prime minister should restart the road improvement and electricity supply project.
ReplyDeleteIn the part that Saudi Arabia is leaving, there seems to be more story behind it. Was there some kind of dispute between the two countries?