Before Trump got elected, he made a lot of promises to bring
jobs back to American factories –meaning exporting less from poorer countries
than the US,where labor costs are lower. So has he lived up to these promises?
Recent press that tried to size up his trade policy record
so far concludes he hasn’t really. The Trump government hasn’t carried out a
lot of what they said they would do.
For example, the US is still a member of the North American
Free Trade Agreement with Maxico and Canada—though Trump had said he would pull
us out. And the US hasn’t followed Trump’s pre-election threats to jack up
tariffs to as high as 45% on exports from China and we haven’t punished US
firms that move to Mexico with a 35% tariff.
Trump did, however pull the US out of the Trans Pacific
Partnership trade agreement—a huge trade agreement with eleven countries
including emerging economies—which is important to freer global trade. Trumo also has ignored the World Trade
Organization, even though the US remains a member and has worked outside of it
on some occasions. For example, he set up a separate investigation of whether
Chinese companies are stealing US companies’
intellectual property. And he hasn’t moved fast enough to work toward filling
empty judge positions at the WTO, which prevents it doing its job effectively.
A recent article in The Economist concludes that the
emerging economy most hurt by Trump’s actions in the international trade space
is Mexico, unsurprisingly. As our nearest neighbor to the south we do a lot of
trade with Mexico. Even though the US remains in NAFTA, the Trump
administration is moving to try to make it easier to prevent tariff-free
imports from Mexico if the prices are
considered too low or if the volume of imports of a certain good imported from
Mexico is too high. And it also wants to be able to work outside this agreement
and its previously agreed rules to deal with any conflicts over investment with
Mexico. The motive of the Trump administration is not only to protect American
jobs but to cut the trade deficit the US now runs with both Mexico and Canada.
This seems like an unfair tactic to me. Instead, we should be looking at what
we can do in our own backyard to make the businesses we are best in more
competitive.
https://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21729868-does-american-presidents-protectionism-pose-threat-emerging
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