Government now increases its spending to deal with recession. US
reached its debt ceiling in 2011. This made Congress rose the debt ceiling, so
the rating from Standard and Poors downgrade. Federal Government shut
down for few days in October 2013 because of the difference of budget.
The effect of fiscal policy affects stock
and bond. Firms' decision is heavily affected by the fiscal policy. If the
policy is not clear enough, firms may postpone new projects, move them
overseas, or abandon it. The debt ceiling influences the amount of debt that
U.S. Department of Treasury can give to bond holders. Eventually, it affects
both investment-grade and high-yield debt securities. At the end, the IMF gives
out 6 main priorities for fiscal policy.
The government increases spending in order
to decrease real interest rate. This policy is to attract people to consume
more. However, it has its down point. More people have incentive to borrow
more. Therefore, the result is the Congress rose the debt ceiling. Federal Government
then encountered problem: budget deficit. Since the government increases the
spending, its budget decreases. With so many people wanting to borrow, the
budget deficit increases. Therefore, Federal Government shut down in October
2013.
Also, the key that IMF gives out has so
many contradictions. To lower the health care cost equals to decrease tax. This
may boost the real interest rate. If so, investment decreases. This will be
harder for Government to increase investment. Also, another goal is to increase
spending on infrastructure. Recalls that the Federal Government used to have so
much deficit that forced it to shut down for few days, why increasing spending
more? This makes the fiscal policy more unclear, therefore, may affect badly on
stock and bond like the article mentions.
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