Sunday, September 21, 2014

China and Asia Winners and losers in the great Chinese rebalancing Slowing investment and resilient consumption in China are changing Asia’s economic order

The article goes into great detail regarding the effect china has in terms of being a regional economic power house. It gives an in depth comparison of how in five year China has gone from a nation growing at an annual rate of 10% on average for the past 30 years to 7.5% in the previous two years. Even though 7.5% annual growth is very good compared to other countries, but; still a downgrade for China. Its coal imports have gone down drastically. Low growth has had a negative effect on Asian Economies that have relied on China for higher exports. Major examples of these are Taiwanese machine tool makers who have seen a drop in exports to China by more than 20% since 2012. Australian iron has hit its lowest price in around 21 months. Jewelry sales have gone down in Hong Kong by 40% this year.
In terms of the Chinese economy, consumption is finally edging out investment as the main element. Household consumption has grown from 34.9% in 2010 to 36.2% of the GDP last year. Even after the mini-stimulus introduced by the government this year, consumption has accounted for more than half of the Chinese growth.

This rebalancing has had an effect on various other economies. With 1.95$ trillion in imports in 2013 China became the second largest importing nation. For example Taiwan’s exports to china went up by 15% in June for a year earlier. However; more at risk are countries that export commodities and capital goods such as heavy machinery to China. Such as Australia will lose about 0.8% points if Chinese investment goes down any further. Which goes to show the impact of economic fluctuations in China as a regional power house.  

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