Sunday, February 9, 2014

The U.S. Labor Market Cools, And its Not Just the Weather

After one of the worst months of job creation in December, job growth numbers in January fell below expectations as well. 75,000 jobs were created in December after the numbers had been revised to take into account the bad weather. January's unrevised numbers show that 113,000 jobs were added to the economy, quite a bit below the expected 180,000.http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-02-07/the-labor-market-is-cooling-off-and-its-not-just-the-weather#r=mar-lst

Private sector job growth has been relatively steady. It accounts for 142,000 jobs added in January. Government sector jobs however, have declined by 29,000. The unemployment rate has declined from 6.7 to 6.6% and average wages have increased have gone up 5 cents. The labor force also increased by 499,000 increasing the participation rate by 0.2%. 

This past months labor statistics aren't all bad but not exactly what the fed wants to see. They promised in 2012 that interest rates would remain extremely low until unemployment came below 6.5%. That time is getting closer and the labor market isn't in the best shape. Over the past year the unemployment rate has decreased by about a percent, but much of that is due to the decline in labor force participation. 

1 comment:

  1. Even though positive change can be seen in terms of bringing down the unemployment rate and adding jobs to the economy, The Fed somehow manages to over state expectations not only in terms of job additions but also in growth figures. The problem with this is that when the economy does not perform as expected, stock markets can be affected and it can give the economy a poor outlook, The Fed should be more realistic with their targets so there is less disappointed when results come out.

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